Risk and Uncertainty Assessment of Geothermal Projects

In this course, you’ll discover a robust, easy-to-use, and auditable methodology for geothermal risk assessment – tailored to deliver consistent and actionable results. Drawing inspiration from well-established risk frameworks used in other subsurface industries, our innovative approach addresses the complexity of geothermal projects, where multiple geological and commercial factors determine success. You will learn how to identify, quantify, and manage the critical uncertainties that influence project viability and investment outcomes. This course was developed by Rose in conjunction with Geological Engineering Network.

what you’ll learn

Day 1: Foundations

  • Introduction to geothermal power and to risk and uncertainty
  • Alignment: introductory lecture to establish a common understanding of the principles, terminology, and unique challenges of the geothermal business. This session ensures all participants start from the same page, regardless of background.
  • Exercise 1: Thermal regime analysis of a geothermal well.
  • Exercise 2: Opportunity screening using the Power Density Methodology.

 

Day 2: Case Studies, Framework, and REM

  • Learning from the field – Case Studies: Analysis of real-world geothermal projects, with a focus on the lessons learned form their risk and uncertainty profiles.
  • Framework for risk and uncertainty assessment in geothermal projects. Explore the theoretical and practical foundations for evaluating uncertainty and risk in geothermal projects – from resource potential to financial viability.
  • Introduction to the Reverse Enthalpy Methodology (REM), an innovative approach developed specifically for geothermal projects. You will learn how to integrate geological, technical, and economic uncertainties into a coherent evaluation framework.

 

Day 3: Exercise, Integration, Consolidation

  • Capstone exercise: Participants will apply the concepts and tools learned to perform a technical and economic evaluation, and ranking, of a set of geothermal blocks.
  • Integration: guided discussion to consolidate knowledge and reflect on the methodologies covered.
Who Should Attend

This course is designed for professionals aiming to deepen their understanding of risk and uncertainty analysis in the geothermal sector.

This course is ideal for geoscientists, engineers, energy economists, decision makers, and all those directly involved in exploration, development, financing, or strategic planning of geothermal projects.

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View Course Schedule

Available Courses

September 29 – October 1, 2025

Ankara, Türkiye

8-5 pm


Early bird rate thru Sep 5: €1000. From Sep 6: €1500. CEEC members, and companies registering 3 or more people: €1200 per person.

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