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Portfolio Risk Analysis (Rollup)

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Analyze and select the portfolio to best deliver your targets for value creation through resource discoveries.

Version 4-1-118c of Portfolio Rollup was released in early July 2007. This versatile, excel-based tool aggregates selected prospect assessment data to show you the range of possible outcomes in the modeled portfolio.  These results in turn can be compared against your important exploration metrics such as estimates of commercially recoverable reserves, discoveries, costs and of course, value.   You can quickly capture prospect details by importing from other R&A prospect risk analysis software, or if desired, by hand entry. 

Rollup provides...

Ranking To Help With Your Portfolio Selection...

Use efficiency metrics to define the optimum portfolio that maximizes value and resources while minimizing costs. You can weight the ranking criteria according to your corporate goals.   Our “traffic-light” matrix facilitates portfolio selection via quartile and numerical ranking for all prospects in a consistent, visual format.



Prospect Characterization...

Prospect Cross Plots and Ordinal Rankings charts allow you to compare prospects within the portfolio and to easily spot biased prospect estimates for further review.  Over twenty prospect variables including resources, chance of success, resource and economic indicators are available from convenient drop down menus.



Simulation Options...

Our proprietary internal Monte Carlo simulation engine means there are no expensive add-ins to purchase, install, or support. You control the size of the simulation run – from a quick, preliminary look, to an extensive, final run. Select a convergence target to minimize the number of iterations and variance in outcome results.



Analysis... Be prepared for the hard questions about your program:
  • What is the range of value created?
  • What is the spread of reserve outcomes?
  • What is the chance of achieving a specified reserve goal?
  • What is the chance of Gambler's Ruin?
  • How many commercial discoveries can you expect to make?
  • How much will drilling this portfolio cost?


We’ve also added the capability to automatically capture data required to build sequential accumulation charts (cumulative probabilistic predicted resources and number of discoveries on a well-by-well basis) to facilitate tracking of your predictive performance.

Rollup is ready to assist you build the optimum portfolio!

Contact us to learn how Rollup will become an important part of your portfolio management system. Request a free Trial Evaluation Package today.